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Application of probabilistic risk assessment at a coking plant site contaminated by Polycyclic Aromatic

XIA Tianxiang,JIANG Lin,JIA Xiaoyang,ZHONG Maosheng,LIANG Jing

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2014, Volume 8, Issue 3,   Pages 441-450 doi: 10.1007/s11783-013-0572-6

Abstract: Application of Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) and Deterministic Risk Assessment (DRA) at a cokingPRA revealed valuable information regarding the possible distribution of risk, and risk estimates ofoverestimated the risk.higher than the acceptable risk, according to the outputs of PRA.Sensitivity analysis was done by calculating the contribution to variance for each exposure parameter

Keywords： Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA)     a coking plant     risk     cleanup level     sensitivity analysis     polycyclic    

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Risk-based probabilistic thermal-stress analysis of concrete arch dams

Narjes SOLTANI, Mohammad ALEMBAGHERI, Mohammad Houshmand KHANEGHAHI

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2019, Volume 13, Issue 5,   Pages 1007-1019 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0521-y

Abstract: The probabilistic risk of arch dam failure under thermal loading is studied.The deterministic thermal finite element analysis of the dam is combined with the structural reliabilitymethods in order to obtain thermal response predictions, and estimate the probability of failure in the riskanalysis context.The tensile overstressing failure mode is considered for the reliability analysis.

Keywords： arch dams     probabilistic analysis     thermal stress     sensitivity     reliability    

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Probabilistic analysis of secant piles with random geometric imperfections

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2021, Volume 15, Issue 3,   Pages 682-695 doi: 10.1007/s11709-021-0703-2

Abstract: The failure to achieve minimum design overlap between secant piles compromises the ability of a structure to perform as designed, resulting in water leakage or even ground collapse. To establish a more realistic simulation and provide guidelines for designing a safe and cost-effective secant-pile wall, a three-dimensional model of a secant pile, considering the geometric imperfections of the diameter and direction of the borehole, is introduced. An ultrasonic cross-hole test was performed during the construction of secant piles in a launching shaft in Beijing, China. Based on the test results, the statistical characteristics of the pile diameters and orientation parameters were obtained. By taking the pile diameter D, inclination angle β, and azimuth angle α as random variables, Monte Carlo simulations were performed to discuss the influence of different design parameters on the probability density functions of the overlap of secant piles. The obtained results show that the randomness of the inclination angle and pile diameter can be well described by a normal distribution, whereas the azimuth angle is more consistent with a uniform distribution. The integrity of the secant-pile wall can be overestimated without considering the uncertainty of geometric imperfections. The failure of the secant-pile wall increases substantially with increasing spatial variability in drilling inclination and diameter. A design flowchart for pile spacing under the target safety level is proposed to help engineers design a safe and economical pile wall.

Keywords： secant piles     ultrasonic cross-hole testing     probabilistic analysis     reliability-based design     random    

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Seismic performance of viaducts with probabilistic method

ZHU Xi, WANG Jianmin

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2007, Volume 1, Issue 3,   Pages 267-273 doi: 10.1007/s11709-007-0034-y

Abstract: structural capacity, it is necessary to consider the seismic performance of viaduct structures using the probabilisticThe risk is quantified by a procedure on the basis of a numerical determination of the fragility curvesand Ineremental Dynamic Method (IDM) (non-linear dynamic) analysis, respectively, in this paper.The structural fragility curves developed by CSM method can help make the structural analysis simpleand quick, avoiding the implementation of the dynamic response history analysis (RHA).

Keywords： uncertainty     Earthquake Engineering     regression analysis     accurate     fragility    

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An interval joint-probabilistic programming method for solid waste management: a case study for the city

Yi XU, Shunze WU, Hongkuan ZANG, Guiguang HOU

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2014, Volume 8, Issue 2,   Pages 239-255 doi: 10.1007/s11783-013-0536-x

Abstract: In response to these challenges, an interval joint-probabilistic mixed-integer programming (IJMP) methodIn the IJMP, joint probabilistic constraints are introduced into an interval-parameter mixed-integerexamined, which can facilitate in-depth analyses of tradeoffs among economic objective and system-failure risk

Keywords： interval analysis     mixed integer     joint probabilistic constraint     planning     uncertainty     waste management    

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Devising optimal integration test orders using cost–benefit analysis Research Article

Fanyi MENG, Ying WANG, Hai YU, Zhiliang ZHU,yuhai@mail.neu.edu.cn

Frontiers of Information Technology & Electronic Engineering 2022, Volume 23, Issue 5,   Pages 692-714 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.2100466

Abstract: complexity, an evaluation scheme is proposed to quantify the class testing priority with the defined class riskperform cycle-breaking operations, satisfying two principles: assigning higher priorities to higher-riskpresent a strategy to evaluate the effectiveness of algorithms by calculating the reduction of software risk

Keywords： Integration test order     Cost–     benefit analysis     Probabilistic risk analysis     Complex network    

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Proposal of a probabilistic assessment of structural collapse concomitantly subject to earthquake and

Gholamreza ABDOLLAHZADEH, Hadi FAGHIHMALEKI

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2018, Volume 12, Issue 3,   Pages 425-437 doi: 10.1007/s11709-017-0427-5

Abstract: developed scenarios and tried to assess different probabilities for each scenario and carried out an analysisIn the first step, two analysis models were used for each scenario; a non-linear dynamic time historyanalysis and a blast local dynamic analysis.In the second step, having the structural destructions of the first step in view, a pushdown analysis

Keywords： gas blast     pushdown analysis     progressive collapse     annual probability of structural collapse     3D model of    

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Novel probabilistic rolling regular tetrahedron mechanism

Yonghan GUAN, Yan’an YAO, Chao LIU, Ruiming LI

Frontiers of Mechanical Engineering 2021, Volume 16, Issue 2,   Pages 363-378 doi: 10.1007/s11465-020-0628-9

Abstract: In this study, a novel mechanism that can conduct probabilistic rolling is proposed to reach a designatedAccording to mobility and kinematic analyses, the mechanism can implement probabilistic rolling.kinematic simulation is conducted, and a control method is proposed on the basis of the moving path analysisFurthermore, the mathematical principle of probabilistic rolling is revealed in terms of probability

Keywords： mobile mechanism     probabilistic motion     rolling mechanism     stochastic motion    

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Probabilistic seismic response and uncertainty analysis of continuous bridges under near-fault ground

Hai-Bin MA, Wei-Dong ZHUO, Davide LAVORATO, Camillo NUTI, Gabriele FIORENTINO, Giuseppe Carlo MARANO, Rita GRECO, Bruno BRISEGHELLA

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2019, Volume 13, Issue 6,   Pages 1510-1519 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0577-8

Abstract: modeling a regular continuous bridge with OpenSees software, a series of nonlinear dynamic time-history analysisas the most correlated IM parameter and the drift ratio of the bridge column as the EDP parameter, a probabilisticOn this basis, the uncertainty analysis is conducted with the key sources of uncertainty during the finiteThe results show that PGA is a proper IM parameter for setting up a linear probabilistic seismic demand

Keywords： continuous bridge     probabilistic seismic demand model     Intensity Measure     near-fault     uncertainty    

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Glogbal Services of BeiDou Navigation Satellite System: Risk Analysis and Countermeasures

Yang Jun

Strategic Study of CAE 2023, Volume 25, Issue 2,   Pages 13-21 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2023.02.002

Abstract: Strengthening research on risk analysis and response of BDS global services is not only an inherent requirementof these risks, the following countermeasures are proposed: strengthening the top-level planning of riskresponse, establishing a response system considering all factors, improving risk response capabilitiesof BDS global service related entities, and consolidating a solid foundation for risk response.

Keywords： BeiDou navigation satellite system     global services     risk analysis     risk response    

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Risk analysis methods of the water resources system under uncertainty

Zeying GUI,Chenglong ZHANG,Mo Li,Ping GUO

Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering 2015, Volume 2, Issue 3,   Pages 205-215 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2015073

Abstract: analysis process.Then the quantitative characterization methods of risk analysis are introduced, including three criteriaFinally, this paper focuses on the various methods of risk analysis under uncertainty, which are summarizedA more comprehensive risk analysis methodology for the WRS is proposed based on the comparison of theThis paper provides a decision support of risk analysis for researchers, policy makers and stakeholders

Keywords： water resources system     evaluation criterion     optimization model     risk analysis method     uncertainty    

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Cumulant-based correlated probabilistic load flow considering photovoltaic generation and electric vehicle

Nitesh Ganesh BHAT, B. Rajanarayan PRUSTY, Debashisha JENA

Frontiers in Energy 2017, Volume 11, Issue 2,   Pages 184-196 doi: 10.1007/s11708-017-0465-7

Abstract: This paper applies a cumulant-based analytical method for probabilistic load flow (PLF) assessment in

Keywords： battery electric vehicle     extended cumulant method     photovoltaic generation     plug-in hybrid electric vehicle     probabilistic    

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control strategy using tuned liquid dampers to reduce displacement demands of base-isolated structures: a probabilistic

Parham SHOAEI, Houtan Tahmasebi OROMI

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2019, Volume 13, Issue 4,   Pages 890-903 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0524-8

Abstract: In the proposed approach, the probabilistic distributions of the stiffness and yield properties of stories

Keywords： tuned liquid damper     lead-rubber bearing system     probabilistic framework     steel shear building     relative    

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Meta-analysis of the risk factors of breast cancer concerning reproductive factors and oral contraceptive

Qiong DAI MD, Bei LIU MD, Yukai DU MM,

Frontiers of Medicine 2009, Volume 3, Issue 4,   Pages 452-458 doi: 10.1007/s11684-009-0080-z

Abstract: The authors performed a meta-analysis of case-control studies that addressed whether reproductive factorssummary OR was adjusted; 95% CI, 1.24―3.62) were correlated with the increase in breast cancer riskand breast-feeding (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64―0.90) indicated no association with breast cancer risk50yr and oral contraceptive use are positively correlated with an increase in breast cancer risk

Keywords： meta-analysis     breast cancer     risk factors     reproductive factors     oral contraceptive use    

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A Review on the Risk Assessment Methods of System Engineering

Cao Yun,Xu Weiya

Strategic Study of CAE 2005, Volume 7, Issue 6,   Pages 88-94

Abstract:

A comprehensive introduction about present situation and future development of the risk assessmentSeveral technical issues on the research of the risk assessment methods are discussed.

Keywords： risk assessment     risk analysis     systems engineering    

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Title Author Date Type Operation

Application of probabilistic risk assessment at a coking plant site contaminated by Polycyclic Aromatic

XIA Tianxiang,JIANG Lin,JIA Xiaoyang,ZHONG Maosheng,LIANG Jing

Journal Article

Risk-based probabilistic thermal-stress analysis of concrete arch dams

Narjes SOLTANI, Mohammad ALEMBAGHERI, Mohammad Houshmand KHANEGHAHI

Journal Article

Probabilistic analysis of secant piles with random geometric imperfections

Journal Article

Seismic performance of viaducts with probabilistic method

ZHU Xi, WANG Jianmin

Journal Article

An interval joint-probabilistic programming method for solid waste management: a case study for the city

Yi XU, Shunze WU, Hongkuan ZANG, Guiguang HOU

Journal Article

Devising optimal integration test orders using cost–benefit analysis

Fanyi MENG, Ying WANG, Hai YU, Zhiliang ZHU,yuhai@mail.neu.edu.cn

Journal Article

Proposal of a probabilistic assessment of structural collapse concomitantly subject to earthquake and

Gholamreza ABDOLLAHZADEH, Hadi FAGHIHMALEKI

Journal Article

Novel probabilistic rolling regular tetrahedron mechanism

Yonghan GUAN, Yan’an YAO, Chao LIU, Ruiming LI

Journal Article

Probabilistic seismic response and uncertainty analysis of continuous bridges under near-fault ground

Hai-Bin MA, Wei-Dong ZHUO, Davide LAVORATO, Camillo NUTI, Gabriele FIORENTINO, Giuseppe Carlo MARANO, Rita GRECO, Bruno BRISEGHELLA

Journal Article

Glogbal Services of BeiDou Navigation Satellite System: Risk Analysis and Countermeasures

Yang Jun

Journal Article

Risk analysis methods of the water resources system under uncertainty

Zeying GUI,Chenglong ZHANG,Mo Li,Ping GUO

Journal Article

Cumulant-based correlated probabilistic load flow considering photovoltaic generation and electric vehicle

Nitesh Ganesh BHAT, B. Rajanarayan PRUSTY, Debashisha JENA

Journal Article

control strategy using tuned liquid dampers to reduce displacement demands of base-isolated structures: a probabilistic

Parham SHOAEI, Houtan Tahmasebi OROMI

Journal Article

Meta-analysis of the risk factors of breast cancer concerning reproductive factors and oral contraceptive

Qiong DAI MD, Bei LIU MD, Yukai DU MM,

Journal Article

A Review on the Risk Assessment Methods of System Engineering

Cao Yun,Xu Weiya

Journal Article